Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 6/15/24 (2024)

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves

Recent betting trends in games played between the Rays and Braves

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rays vs Braves game

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Rays played the Chicago Cubs in their early-week series. Tampa Bay won 5-2 on Tuesday but took a 4-3 loss in game two. The Rays were able to win the series with a 3-2 victory in the rubber match. On Friday versus the Braves, the Rays were out-hit 12-8 in a 7-3 loss. Starting pitcher Zack Littell gave up six earned on eight hits and a walk.

In the starter slot for the Saturday game two, the Rays will send out Ryan Pepiot. This year Pepiot is 4-3 with a 4.17 ERA in 11 starts. He’s got 68 Ks in 58.1 innings. Pepiot is 9-4 with a 3.36 ERA in 28 games (21 starts).

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they took on the Baltimore Orioles this week. Atlanta lost the first two installments of that set 4-0 and 4-2 but staved off the sweep with a 6-3 win in the finale. On Friday the Braves got 7.0 innings with two earned on five hits and two walks from starter Chris Sale.

Charlie Morton will start for the Braves on Saturday. So far this season Morton is 3-3 with a 4.12 ERA in 12 starts. He has 68 Ks in 67.2 innings. Morton is 133-116 with a 4.00 ERA in 365 career games (364 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Rays' last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Braves' last six day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last five games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Austin Riley has recorded a Double in each of the Braves' last three games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves' last two games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in nine of the Braves' last 11 home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last eight home games against AL opponents.
• Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 17 games at Truist Park.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Truist Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded an RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last eight games.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Atlanta Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (60).
• The Atlanta Braves rank 26th in the league for walks this season (193).
• The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.351).
• The Tampa Bay Rays rank T26th in the league for RBI's this season (249).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’ll probably try the Rays here. Pepiot could use a good start, though. In his last outing Pepiot gave up four earned on nine hits in 6.0 innings in a loss to Baltimore. Prior to that Pepiot had given up five earned in 11.2 innings over two starts. As for Morton, he’s struggled a bit lately, giving up a combined 12 earned runs in 10.2 innings during two of his last three appearances.

On Friday the Rays were down 7-0 after two innings and really didn’t have much chance at catching up. I like Tampa to recover for game two, though.