Dow Jones churns on middling Wednesday markets (2024)

  • Dow Jones hung up on the 39,000.00 handle amid quiet midweek markets.
  • Fedspeak continues to press down on rate cut hopes.
  • Investors buckle down for the wait to key data on Thursday and Friday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is churning just above 39,000.00 in tepid Wednesday trading as markets hunker down for the wait to key data in the back half of the trading week. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have repeatedly noted the need for patience on policy rates. The US central bank continues to look for firmer signs that inflation will continue easing to the Fed’s 2% annual target. A notable lack of economic slowdown and a still-tight labor market leaves the Fed with little need to rush into rate cuts. Several Fed officials have cautioned that there might be no rate cuts in 2024, while the Fed’s median dot plot of rate expectations suggests only a single quarter-point cut for the year.

A notable lack of data on Wednesday leaves investors to fidget in place and wait for a raft of key US datapoints slated for release on Thursday and Friday. US Durable Goods Orders, a revision to first-quarter US Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Initial Jobless Claims are all due Thursday. Friday will round out the trading week with a fresh print of US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) inflation figures for May.

Investors with hopes pinned on at least a quarter-point rate cut from the Fed in September will look for soft-but-not-too-soft US economic figures. Too good a print means the Fed will be even less likely to deliver an early rate trim, while too bad of a data calendar will mean the US is headed for a recession, leaving rate-cut-hungry markets to dream of a happy middle ground.

Dow Jones news

The Dow Jones is up a scant 30 points rounding the corner into the final stretch of Wednesday’s US market session. The major equity index is getting propped up by firm gains in market favorites, but most of the Dow Jones’ constituent securities are in the red on Wednesday, with two-thirds of the listed stocks softly in the red.

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) surged nearly 4.5% on Wednesday, approaching $195.00 per share, with Apple Inc. (AAPL) struggling to keep pace, rising 2.3% to $214.00 per share. On the downside, Amgen Inc. (AMGN) and Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV) are each down around 1.7% apiece, with Amgen falling below $315.00 per share and Travelers Companies falling to $205.00 per share.

Dow Jones technical outlook

Dow Jones remains within touch range of the previous day’s closing bids near 39,100.00 on Wednesday. The DJIA remains down from last week’s peak near 39,600.00, but a near-term floor is priced in at Wednesday’s early lows just above 38,900.00.

Daily candlesticks continue to hold just above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 38,878.00 as bidders try to drag the large-cap index back towards all-time highs set in May just north of the 40,000.00 major handle.

Dow Jones five minute chartDow Jones churns on middling Wednesday markets (1)

Dow Jones daily chartDow Jones churns on middling Wednesday markets (2)

Economic Indicator

Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers in the United States (US).. The MoM figure compares prices in the reference month to the previous month. Price changes may cause consumers to switch from buying one good to another and the PCE Deflator can account for such substitutions. This makes it the preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Jun 28, 2024 12:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 0%

Previous: 0.3%

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis

Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Dow Jones churns on middling Wednesday markets (2024)

FAQs

What is the Dow Jones strategy? ›

Dow theory trading strategy

Dow theory says that the market is in an upward trend if one of its averages goes above a previous important high and is accompanied or followed by a similar movement in the other average.

What is the Dow theory bear signal? ›

Dow theory sell signal

A bear market sell signal is triggered when the rally penetrates the recent lows on the next fall, as measured by both the Industrial and Transportation averages.

What is the Dow theory explained? ›

The Dow Theory is a financial theory that says the market is in an upward trend if one of its averages (e.g., industrials or transportation) advances above a previous important high and is accompanied or followed by a similar advance in another average.

What is the Dow theory buy signal? ›

Dow Theory is based on the relative price action of the Dow Jones Industrial and Transportation averages. The buy signal suggests there is plenty of more upside ahead for the stock market, according to LPL.

What is the best time to trade Dow? ›

US equity markets open at 9:30 AM and close at 4 PM Eastern Time, and this brings a more active period of trading for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the constituents therein.

What makes the Dow go up or down? ›

The result is the DJIA is affected only by changes in the stock prices, and stocks with a higher share price have a larger impact on the Dow's movements.

What is the best indicator of the bear market? ›

IndicatorDescription
Weak Corporate EarningsAre stock market earnings degrading or falling for multiple successive quarters?
Inverted Yield CurveAre overnight interest rates higher than long-term, 10-year bond yield rates?
Faltering Revenue GrowthEarnings can be affected by outside factors; sales, less so.
2 more rows

What is a bear market is it good or bad? ›

The broader economy is typically weakening when stock markets enter a bear market. This is characterized by rising unemployment, decreased gross domestic product (GDP) and declining corporate profits. Negative sentiment. During a bear market, market sentiment is poor.

What indicates the end of a bear market? ›

Watch for 20%: Market cycles are measured from peak to trough, so a stock index officially reaches bear territory when the closing price drops at least 20% from its most recent high (whereas a correction is a drop of 10%-19.9%). A new bull market begins when the closing price gains 20% from its low.

What is the Dow Jones for dummies? ›

Simply put, the Dow Jones is an index that measures the performance of 30 large, publicly-traded companies listed on the stock exchanges in the United States.

What is the average discount everything? ›

The Averages Discount Everything:

While the markets cannot pre-empt or forecast events such as earthquakes, epidemics and various other unknown events/calamities, they quickly discount such occurrences, and almost instantaneously assimilate their effects on the price action.

What signals a stock market bottom? ›

There are a few ways to determine the bottom of a market. The two most important are price and volume. When there are few sellers in the market for a stock, it has probably bottomed out. Additionally, if the average daily trading volume of a stock has dropped significantly, it has most likely bottomed out.

Which indicator shows buy and sell? ›

The stochastic indicator establishes a range with values indexed between 0 and 100. A reading of 80+ points to a security being overbought, and is a sell signal. Readings 20 or lower are considered oversold and indicate a buy.

What is the Dow Jones transport theory? ›

One of the basic tenets of the Dow Theory is that the Dow transports and Dow industrials have to confirm each others' trends before a definitive trend signal is sent.

What is the Dow 5 strategy? ›

Strategy Tester. As you can guess from the name, this strategy completely replicates the '"Dogs of the Dow" strategy but selects only 5 tickers with the lowest price. That is, out of the 10 highest dividend-yielding stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index, we select only the 5 lowest-priced stocks.

What is the Dow Jones methodology? ›

Key Takeaways. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an index of 30 of the largest blue-chip stocks in the market. The DJIA is a price-weighted index, as opposed to one that is market-cap weighted, such as the S&P 500. The index is calculated by adding the stock prices of the 30 companies and then dividing by the divisor ...

What is the Dow method of trading? ›

Dow Theory suggests the markets are made up of three distinct phases, which are self-repeating. These are called the Accumulation phase, the Markup phase, and the Distribution phase. The Accumulation phase usually occurs right after a steep sell-off in the market.

What is the best way to invest in the Dow Jones? ›

Since the Dow Jones is simply a measure of its underlying stocks' performance, you can't invest in it directly—instead, you can invest with an index fund either through a mutual fund or an ETF that strives to match the performance of the market index.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Foster Heidenreich CPA

Last Updated:

Views: 6235

Rating: 4.6 / 5 (56 voted)

Reviews: 87% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Foster Heidenreich CPA

Birthday: 1995-01-14

Address: 55021 Usha Garden, North Larisa, DE 19209

Phone: +6812240846623

Job: Corporate Healthcare Strategist

Hobby: Singing, Listening to music, Rafting, LARPing, Gardening, Quilting, Rappelling

Introduction: My name is Foster Heidenreich CPA, I am a delightful, quaint, glorious, quaint, faithful, enchanting, fine person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.